Abstract: This talk will review two case studies that examine the effectiveness of using Fuzzy Top Event Probability (FTEP) over the conventional approach. Case study one relates to flash vessel in an ammonia tank, while in case study two ,using fuzzy set theory, the FTEP has been estimated for the existing ammonia storage tank in a large fertilizer complex located in Mumbai, India. In addition, a new formalism for estimating the possibility of a fuzzy event is presented with a simple application.
Bio: Professor Ashok Deshpande holds a Ph.D. degree in Engineering and Technology. He is the Founding Chair of the Berkeley Initiative in Soft Computing (BISC)-Special Interest Group (SIG)-Environment Management Systems (EMS) located in the Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Department at UC Berkeley, a position he was requested to take by Dr. Lotfi Zadeh, the founder of fuzzy logic, after listening to Deshpandes many seminars and talks. He has authored over 150 publications and is a member of several PhD commit - tees at the College of Engineering at the University of Pune (India), where he is currently an Adjunct Professor.